8
Gevalia
3yo Filly · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |