5
Lil Braveheart
3yo Filly · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 9.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |