6
Smart Little Lass
3yo Filly · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |