7

Adroit

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 82

Saratoga · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Fm 12120/06C9C6 @ Saratoga 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fm 121 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 74 par19/07C6OR 74projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-06-20Belmont At The Big A?6th9th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0619/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
19/07/20265th50/10%64%+0.64