3
Coach Of The Year
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 84
Saratoga · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |