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5

Force Of Mischief

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 79

Saratoga · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f 1209/04C6C6 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 61 par7/06C6OR 61C6 @ Saratoga 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 72 par4/07C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Saratoga?8th8th0
2026-06-07Saratoga?7th7th0
2026-04-09Aqueduct?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/047/064/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
07/06/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
04/07/20268th12/137%22%-0.15