5

Luminous Beauty

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72

Saratoga · Race 10 - Adirondack Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -4.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f 11915/05C6C6 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 87 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 87 par4/06C6OR 87C5 @ Saratoga 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 6f 122 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 89 par3/07C5OR 89projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Saratoga?5th10th4
2026-06-04Saratoga?1st8th5
2026-05-15Churchill Downs?2nd9th5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/054/063/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
04/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
03/07/20265th11/893%20%-0.73