7
Prime Aurora
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 10 - Adirondack Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |