6

Scarlett Begonia

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 101

Saratoga · Race 10 - Adirondack Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/6

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

46%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f110y 1196/07C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Ellis Park?1st8th5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength98%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20261st5/696%100%+0.04