4

Washton

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92

Saratoga · Race 10 - Adirondack Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f 11922/05C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-22Churchill Downs?1st8th5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12