
Battle Rifle
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 36
Saratoga · Race 11 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-12-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-11-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |