2
Hot Currency
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 93
Saratoga · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |