Zi End
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 86
Saratoga · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 2/11 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |