Jackson Heights
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |