8
Kunshan Bridge
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Saratoga · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 28/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |