8
Celestial Express
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 79
Saratoga · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 16/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |