Pretty Lavish
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 91
Saratoga · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |