7

Starlight Dancer

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 78

Saratoga · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 13/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 87 · 1m1f Fm 120 · below its mark13/10/2024 · OR 87 par13/10C9OR 87C6 @ Aqueduct 16/11/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/11/2024 · OR 87 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 77 par3/05C6OR 77C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 125 · below its mark26/05/2025 · OR 72 parC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 69 · 1m1f Fm 125 · beat its mark26/06/2025 · OR 69 par26/06C9OR 69C8 @ Saratoga 16/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 125 · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 75 parC8 @ Saratoga 15/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 80 par15/08C8OR 80C5 @ Aqueduct 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 126 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 82 par27/06C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd1
2026-04-18Aqueduct?5th3rd+2
2025-08-15Saratoga?3rd4th1
2025-07-16Saratoga?2nd3rd1
2025-06-26Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd2
2025-05-26Belmont At The Big A?2nd4th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1026/0515/0827/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength97%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20242nd2/189%89%-0.01
16/11/20249th13/266%11%-0.55
03/05/20256th10/147%50%+0.03
26/05/20252nd3/184%90%+0.06
26/06/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
16/07/20252nd4/179%89%+0.10
15/08/20253rd3/184%78%-0.06
18/04/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
27/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14