7

Starlight Dancer
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 78
Saratoga · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-05-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 16/11/2024 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |