2
Dreams Of Rome
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |