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3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 82

Saratoga · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS12/04C6C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 79 par2/05C9OR 79C9 @ Saratoga 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 78 par3/06C9OR 78C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 80 par28/06C9OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd−2
2026-06-03Saratoga?4th6th−2
2026-05-02Belmont At The Big A?5th7th−2
2026-04-12Laurel Park?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/042/053/0628/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
02/05/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
03/06/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
28/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00