6
Solo Empire
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 80
Saratoga · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 07/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |