5
Just Tipsy
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 63
Saratoga · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |