3
Music In Motion
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 71
Saratoga · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
67%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |