8
Bring Theband Home
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 99
Saratoga · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength89%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2025-08-03 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | -5th | +5 |
| 2025-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/10/2024 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 05/04/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 01/05/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/08/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 8/11 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |