4
Clock Tower
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 103
Saratoga · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼4
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: +3.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 4th | +5 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 0th | +5 |
| 2025-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-04-07 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2025-02-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/10/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 01/12/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/02/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 07/04/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 24/05/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |