Creditworthy
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 101
Saratoga · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-07-06 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 29/08/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/08/2025 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |