Jean Valjean
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 101
Saratoga · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-10-25 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 19/07/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 30/08/2024 | 1st | 1/6 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 25/10/2024 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 09/11/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 56% | -0.38 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |