Keewaydin
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 100
Saratoga · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 1st | 2/13 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 07/12/2024 | 5th | 4/6 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 10/05/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 22/06/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 03/08/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |