1
Alluring Angel
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 109
Saratoga · Race 8 - Glens Falls Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 4f
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 10/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/12/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |