10
Dona Clota
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 106
Saratoga · Race 8 - Glens Falls Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 4f
#9
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
| 2025-01-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |