7
Blackout Time
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 101
Saratoga · Race 9 - Curlin S. Presented By Casamigos · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |