6
Chief Wallabee
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 107
Saratoga · Race 9 - Curlin S. Presented By Casamigos · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |