1
Gulfy
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 95
Saratoga · Race 9 - Curlin S. Presented By Casamigos · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 31/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |