8
Minorinconvenience
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 82
Saratoga · Race 9 - Curlin S. Presented By Casamigos · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | BHA96 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Saratoga | BHA76 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |