Glasweigian
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/6
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 04/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 28/09/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |