1
Real Savvy
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 98
Woodbine · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |