3
Roi Soleil
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 101
Woodbine · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/04/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 20/07/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |