2
Split Strike
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 99
Woodbine · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 20/07/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |