Hammerhead
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 103
Woodbine · Race 3 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 4th | +6 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | -2th | +6 |
| 2025-08-30 | Woodbine | BHA99 | 11th | 15th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 03/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 30/08/2025 | 11th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 24/01/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |