1
Mohaymen Diamond
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 90
Woodbine · Race 3 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |