6
Au Contraire
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 42
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-10-23 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/10/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |