7
Flyonbye
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |