5
Howsitgoinowen
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 53
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |