2
Fog D'oro
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 70
Woodbine · Race 5 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |