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6

Stormy Cloud

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 64

Woodbine · Race 5 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS7/06C6C6 @ Woodbine 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 7f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 70 par28/06C6OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 65 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 65 par11/07C7OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-06-28Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-06-07Woodbine?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0628/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
28/06/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
11/07/20266th13/266%38%-0.28