5
Coburg
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |