2
One More Brew
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |