3
Master Steal
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |