5
Bright Angel
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 71
Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 14th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/06/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 19/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |