2
Chaos Agent
3yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 108
Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength25%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 12th | 6th | +5 |
| 2026-02-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/03/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |